Lokeren-Temse 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
Crosses 16.1
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokeren-Temse
0-1
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
0.72 xG 0.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
345 Passes 204
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokeren-Temse vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage nicked a narrow win over Lokeren-Temse 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Boussu Dour Borinage made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokeren-Temse had 61% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 39%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.72 to 0.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lokeren-Temse.

What was the final score of Lokeren-Temse vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Lokeren-Temse 0-1 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokeren-Temse vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokeren-Temse 35%, draw 27%, Boussu Dour Borinage 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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