Aalborg vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aalborg v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals
Aalborg vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
3-1
HT 0-0
Aalborg
DAN
1-0
HT 1-0
Aalborg
DAN
2-0
HT 1-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
1-0
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
HAZ
2-2
HT 1-0
Aalborg
DAN
Aalborg 0-4 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics
AGF Aarhus ran out comfortable winners over Aalborg 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
As we said in the preview, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Aalborg had 48% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 52%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.43 to 1.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalborg and 1.17 for AGF Aarhus.
What was the final score of Aalborg vs AGF Aarhus?
Aalborg 0-4 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aalborg vs AGF Aarhus?
Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aalborg 31%, draw 27%, AGF Aarhus 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.