Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Sibenik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
15%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sibenik EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.39/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.46
+15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.8 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sibenik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.03 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
12.02.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
07.10.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
29.07.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
20.05.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 HT 2-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
11.03.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-4 HT 1-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Sibenik
1.12 xG 0.62
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
460 Passes 163
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
39 Box Touches 8
45 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Sibenik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sibenik edged past Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 70% of the ball to Sibenik's 30%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.12 to 0.62 — on chances, Lokomotiva Zagreb could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.83 for Sibenik.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Sibenik?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Sibenik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 49%, draw 27%, Sibenik 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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