Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.6
No
66%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.55
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
34%
-0.0pp
66%
BTTS No
66%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.53/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.44
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
323 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Malavan FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2 Corners 8
01.05.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-1 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
22.02.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
10.11.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
17.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
26.01.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 4-0 HT 2-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
18.08.2022 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Malavan FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Esteghlal Khuzestan carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.67 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan FC?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 61%, draw 23%, Malavan FC 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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