Municipal Liberia vs Guadalupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal Liberia v Guadalupe — Team-Based Signals
Guadalupe squeezed past Municipal Liberia 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Municipal Liberia at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Guadalupe?
Municipal Liberia 1-2 Guadalupe in the Costa Rica - Cup on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Guadalupe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 48%, draw 26%, Guadalupe 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.