Al Yarmouk 2-4 Al Fahaheel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.15
2-3 Goals
34%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.15 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.19/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.49
+74% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +141%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Yarmouk
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Fahaheel
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
20.03.2023 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUVFK
29.04.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUVEK
25.04.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
12.01.2022 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
24.10.2020 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Yarmouk
2-4
AWAY Al Fahaheel
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Yarmouk vs Al Fahaheel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fahaheel saw off Al Yarmouk 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Fahaheel as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Yarmouk had 50% of the ball to Al Fahaheel's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Fahaheel led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Yarmouk and 1.80 for Al Fahaheel.

What was the final score of Al Yarmouk vs Al Fahaheel?

Al Yarmouk 2-4 Al Fahaheel in the Kuwait - Premier League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Yarmouk vs Al Fahaheel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fahaheel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Yarmouk 32%, draw 26%, Al Fahaheel 43%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Fahaheel) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Fahaheel) ✗ Under 2.5
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