Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Polonia Warszawa v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals
Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Warta Poznan — Actual Match Statistics
Polonia Warszawa saw off Warta Poznan 2-0.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 46% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 54%, shots finished 12-11.
What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan?
Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Warta Poznan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 35%, draw 28%, Warta Poznan 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Warta Poznan) went the other way.