Academica 1-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2024

📅23/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-54% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academica vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica squeezed past Uniao Santarem 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Academica had 41% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 59%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Academica 1-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Academica 44%, draw 28%, Uniao Santarem 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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