Rayong FC 1-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2024

Rayong FC
1-1 HT 0-1
Muang Thong United
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Rayong FC vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rayong FC v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -61%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
– Crosses 18.7
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Rayong FC 1-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayong FC
1-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
0.97 xG 1.30
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
173 Passes 345
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rayong FC vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayong FC and Muang Thong United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Muang Thong United carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rayong FC had 40% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 60%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.97 to 1.30.

What was the final score of Rayong FC vs Muang Thong United?

Rayong FC 1-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayong FC vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rayong FC 20%, draw 25%, Muang Thong United 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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