Alanyaspor 1-1 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Aug 2024

Alanyaspor
1-1 HT 0-1
Göztepe
📅23/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
8%
6.42
X/X
11%
4.08
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
4.9
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Göztepe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.68/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.59
+10% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.5 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Göztepe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.59 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
403 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.03.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 0-2 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
31.10.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-2 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
04.03.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
09.12.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
27.06.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 3-3 HT 1-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
24.11.2019 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL

Alanyaspor 1-1 Göztepe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-1
AWAY Göztepe
1.53 xG 1.44
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
435 Passes 164
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor and Göztepe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 68% of the ball to Göztepe's 32%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.33 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Göztepe?

Alanyaspor 1-1 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 23/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 49%, draw 27%, Göztepe 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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