Nacka Iliria 4-3 Korsnas IF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
8%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
73%
-1.6pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.9pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Korsnas IF FK EU Bookmakers 14%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.27/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.96
+29% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Korsnas IF FK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
11.05.2025 Korsnas IF FK 0-3 HT 0-1 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacka Iliria
4-3
AWAY Korsnas IF FK
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Korsnas IF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria squeezed past Korsnas IF FK 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacka Iliria as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Nacka Iliria had 68% of the ball to Korsnas IF FK's 32%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Korsnas IF FK?

Nacka Iliria 4-3 Korsnas IF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Korsnas IF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacka Iliria win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 72%, draw 20%, Korsnas IF FK 8%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacka Iliria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacka Iliria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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