Zürich 0-4 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

Zürich
0-4 HT 0-2
Thun
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Zürich vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.15
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.86
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
8%
11.85
X/1
14%
5.16
X/2
12%
7.11
X/X
7%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.8
2/2
18%
4.72
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.8 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zürich v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.46
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.4 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Zürich vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Thun
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.01 xG 1.91
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2020 Zürich Zürich 3-3 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV
01.07.2020 Thun Thun 3-2 HT 3-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
02.11.2019 Thun Thun 0-1 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
22.09.2019 Zürich Zürich 2-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV
15.05.2019 Zürich Zürich 3-0 HT 3-0 Thun Thun İSV
10.03.2019 Thun Thun 2-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV

Zürich 0-4 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-4
AWAY Thun
1.21 xG 1.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
475 Passes 190
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
40 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun cruised past Zürich 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Zürich had 66% of the ball to Thun's 34%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.21 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zürich and 1.33 for Thun.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Thun?

Zürich 0-4 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zürich 43%, draw 22%, Thun 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Zürich), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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