AEgir 1-3 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

AEgir
1-3 HT 0-2
Grotta
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.92
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
48%
+7.8pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.97/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.32
-8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grotta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Grotta Grotta 3-3 HT 1-2 AEgir AEgir İZL2
21.08.2023 AEgir AEgir 2-2 HT 2-2 Grotta Grotta İZL1
15.06.2023 Grotta Grotta 2-1 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
02.09.2022 Grotta Grotta 1-3 HT 0-1 AEgir AEgir İZL1
01.07.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-0 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
19.08.2021 Grotta Grotta 2-1 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
POST-MATCH AEgir vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grotta saw off AEgir 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AEgir at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AEgir and 1.67 for Grotta.

What was the final score of AEgir vs Grotta?

AEgir 1-3 Grotta in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEgir win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split AEgir 56%, draw 18%, Grotta 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AEgir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEgir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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