Kapaz 2-3 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 29%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-44% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvan Evlakh edged past Kapaz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Karvan Evlakh made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Karvan Evlakh?

Kapaz 2-3 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapaz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 38%, draw 33%, Karvan Evlakh 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kapaz), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapaz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →