Al Dhafra 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Aug 2025

Al Dhafra
3-1 HT 1-1
Al Wasl Dubai
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
14%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Dhafra v Al Wasl Dubai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 70%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.94/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.01
-14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +28%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.7 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.58 xG 2.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
211 Passes 417
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
08.10.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
11.05.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
21.11.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
11.05.2021 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
16.01.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE

Al Dhafra 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
3-1
AWAY Al Wasl Dubai
0.42 xG 1.58
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
153 Passes 434
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra saw off Al Wasl Dubai 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Al Wasl Dubai carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 36% of the ball to Al Wasl Dubai's 64%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.42 to 1.58 — on chances, Al Wasl Dubai could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Dhafra and 2.00 for Al Wasl Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Al Dhafra 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai in the UAE - League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Wasl Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 14%, draw 23%, Al Wasl Dubai 63%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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