Naesby 1-0 Vanlose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanlose EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
2.76/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.74
+59% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vanlose
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 0-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
07.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-1 HT 1-0 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
10.06.2023 Vanlose Vanlose 1-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
06.05.2023 Naesby Naesby 0-2 HT 0-1 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
22.10.2022 Vanlose Vanlose 2-2 HT 2-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
01.10.2022 Naesby Naesby 4-1 HT 1-1 Vanlose Vanlose DAN3
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Vanlose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby squeezed past Vanlose 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Naesby and 1.17 for Vanlose.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Vanlose?

Naesby 1-0 Vanlose in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Vanlose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Naesby 51%, draw 24%, Vanlose 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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