Pors Grenland 4-2 Sandnes Ulf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
7.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.1pp
64%
Away Win
61%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 66%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.99/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.32
-14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pors Grenland
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandnes Ulf
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2025 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 2-1 HT 1-1 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR3
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Sandnes Ulf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland beat Sandnes Ulf 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Sandnes Ulf carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Sandnes Ulf?

Pors Grenland 4-2 Sandnes Ulf in the Norway - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Sandnes Ulf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 20%, draw 17%, Sandnes Ulf 64%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sandnes Ulf), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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