Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 Kepezspor FAŞ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.28
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
74%
-1.2pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.2pp
11%
Away Win
9%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-1
AWAY Kepezspor FAŞ
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Kepezspor FAŞ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor and Kepezspor FAŞ couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Karacabey Belediye Spor carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 64% of the ball to Kepezspor FAŞ's 36%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 Kepezspor FAŞ in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Kepezspor FAŞ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 73%, draw 16%, Kepezspor FAŞ 11%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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