Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Premier League, 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle
vs
Liverpool
📅23/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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England - Premier League – 2026/2027

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Newcastle v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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PREVIEW Newcastle vs Liverpool
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Liverpool, but not by enough to write Newcastle off.

Liverpool's away form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Kick-off Time

Newcastle play Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 18:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Newcastle vs Liverpool Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Newcastle vs Liverpool is an Liverpool win at about 48% probability, priced 1.89 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Newcastle 28%, draw 23%, Liverpool 48%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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