Pisa 0-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 23 Aug 2026

Pisa
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Padova Calcio
📅23/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2026/2027

Pisa vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
16%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.0
No
52%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.72
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
23%
4.17
6+
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1 ✗
25%
4.23
X/2
5%
9.63
X/X
13%
4.42
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
6%
8.24
2/X
7%
16.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.23 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Pisa v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pisa The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio The Market 23%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.97 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.55
Average Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Pisa vs Padova Calcio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Padova Calcio nicked a narrow win over Pisa 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pisa at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 48%. At 1.72 (~58%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Pisa vs Padova Calcio Result & Final Score

Pisa 0 - 1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 23/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pisa vs Padova Calcio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Pisa 57%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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