Jihlava 2-2 Graffin Vlasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jihlava EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.30/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.59
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jihlava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
12.04.2024 Jihlava Jihlava 1-1 HT 0-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
02.09.2023 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-0 HT 1-0 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
28.05.2023 Jihlava Jihlava 5-0 HT 2-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
30.07.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 0-2 HT 0-2 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
20.03.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 3-1 HT 3-1 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
20.08.2021 Jihlava Jihlava 0-1 HT 0-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jihlava
2-2
AWAY Graffin Vlasim
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jihlava vs Graffin Vlasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jihlava and Graffin Vlasim couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jihlava at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jihlava had 46% of the ball to Graffin Vlasim's 54%, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Graffin Vlasim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jihlava and 1.00 for Graffin Vlasim.

What was the final score of Jihlava vs Graffin Vlasim?

Jihlava 2-2 Graffin Vlasim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jihlava vs Graffin Vlasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jihlava win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jihlava 41%, draw 26%, Graffin Vlasim 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jihlava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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