Barwell 2-0 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Sep 2024

Barwell
2-0 HT 1-0
AFC Telford United
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Barwell vs AFC Telford United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-10.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barwell v AFC Telford United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.17/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.82
-10% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Barwell vs AFC Telford United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Telford United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.12.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-1 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Barwell Barwell 3-1 HT 2-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP

Barwell 2-0 AFC Telford United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
2-0
AWAY AFC Telford United
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell got the better of AFC Telford United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Barwell made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Barwell had 38% of the ball to AFC Telford United's 62%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barwell and 1.50 for AFC Telford United.

What was the final score of Barwell vs AFC Telford United?

Barwell 2-0 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barwell 31%, draw 30%, AFC Telford United 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →