Genoa U20 3-2 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
3-2
AWAY Fiorentina U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 edged past Fiorentina U20 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Genoa U20 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 49%, shots finished 23-13.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Genoa U20 3-2 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 40%, draw 30%, Fiorentina U20 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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