Bayern München (K) 5-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 23 Sep 2024

Bayern München (K)
5-1 HT 2-1
Hoffenheim (K)
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.98
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
79%
-20.8pp
24%
Draw
12%
+11.4pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München (K) v Hoffenheim (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.52/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/1.08
+39% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
453 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
19.4 Crosses 21.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
324 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 4
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Bayern München (K) Bayern München (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB

Bayern München (K) 5-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München (K)
5-1
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
3.07 xG 0.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
538 Passes 286
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München (K) cruised past Hoffenheim (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern München (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bayern München (K) had 63% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 37%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 3.07 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Bayern München (K) 5-1 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bayern München (K) 59%, draw 24%, Hoffenheim (K) 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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