Independiente Petrolero 2-2 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 23 Sep 2024

Independiente Petrolero
2-2 HT 1-2
Wilstermann
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Independiente Petrolero vs Wilstermann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Petrolero v Wilstermann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.10/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.90
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.7 Crosses 14.2
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Independiente Petrolero vs Wilstermann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wilstermann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
216 Passes 262
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
16.04.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
18.10.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
01.05.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
28.02.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
24.09.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-3 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Independiente Petrolero 2-2 Wilstermann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2-2
AWAY Wilstermann
0.65 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
255 Passes 360
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and Wilstermann shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Petrolero at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 43% of the ball to Wilstermann's 57%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 0.65 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.50 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Wilstermann?

Independiente Petrolero 2-2 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 42%, draw 32%, Wilstermann 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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