Rudes 0-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.3pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +123%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
0-1
AWAY Vukovar
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar nicked a narrow win over Rudes 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rudes had 61% of the ball to Vukovar's 39%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Vukovar?

Rudes 0-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rudes 33%, draw 25%, Vukovar 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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