Birmingham City U21 3-2 Fleetwood Town U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21 EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.77/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.29
-22% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fleetwood Town U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.02.2024 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 1-1 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town U21 Fleetwood Town U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 edged past Fleetwood Town U21 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Birmingham City U21 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Birmingham City U21 3-2 Fleetwood Town U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Fleetwood Town U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 56%, draw 22%, Fleetwood Town U21 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
23 Sep 2024
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