Osaka 1-2 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.04/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.19
-24% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Fukushima United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.06.2024 Fukushima United Fukushima United 2-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
05.11.2023 Osaka Osaka 1-0 HT 1-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
11.06.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 Osaka Osaka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
1-2
AWAY Fukushima United
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
187 Passes 234
66% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fukushima United nicked a narrow win over Osaka 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Fukushima United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osaka had 46% of the ball to Fukushima United's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Osaka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osaka and 0.67 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Fukushima United?

Osaka 1-2 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osaka 39%, draw 29%, Fukushima United 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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