Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Sep 2024

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1-1 HT 1-1
CDS Tampico Madero
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca v CDS Tampico Madero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.60/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.68
+27% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.5 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alebrijes de Oaxaca and CDS Tampico Madero couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Alebrijes de Oaxaca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-1 CDS Tampico Madero in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs CDS Tampico Madero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alebrijes de Oaxaca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alebrijes de Oaxaca 42%, draw 26%, CDS Tampico Madero 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alebrijes de Oaxaca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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