Göztepe 3-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
11%
4.19
X/2
15%
8.75
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
10%
6.47
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 26%
-27% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.93/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.54
-18% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
25.0 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 272
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-2 HT 1-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
22.11.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
03.04.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
05.12.2020 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.03.2020 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
05.10.2019 Göztepe Göztepe 4-0 HT 3-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
3-0
AWAY Kayserispor
2.29 xG 0.41
37% Ball Possession 63%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
195 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe ran out comfortable winners over Kayserispor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Göztepe made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göztepe had 37% of the ball to Kayserispor's 63%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.29 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Göztepe and 1.00 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Kayserispor?

Göztepe 3-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 40%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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