Shakhtar Donetsk 4-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
-18.8pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.5pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 8%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.38/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.67
+14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +26%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
436 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Corners 2
30.03.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
16.09.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk ran out comfortable winners over Obolon Kyiv 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.00 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon Kyiv?

Shakhtar Donetsk 4-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 63%, draw 23%, Obolon Kyiv 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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