Cerro vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
CA Penarol
URU
2-0
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
2-1
HT 1-1
Cerro
URU
1-3
HT 0-1
CA Penarol
URU
Cerro 0-5 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol ran out comfortable winners over Cerro 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cerro had 32% of the ball to CA Penarol's 68%, shots finished 1-20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 2.00 for CA Penarol.
What was the final score of Cerro vs CA Penarol?
Cerro 0-5 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cerro 26%, draw 28%, CA Penarol 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.