FC Rustavi 1-2 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gürcitan Cup, 23 Sep 2025

FC Rustavi
1-2 HT 1-2
Samtredia
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Gürcitan Cup – 2025

FC Rustavi vs Samtredia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
16%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.27
No
49%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
19%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.9pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Rustavi v Samtredia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Rustavi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

FC Rustavi 1-2 Samtredia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Rustavi
1-2
AWAY Samtredia
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Rustavi vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia edged past FC Rustavi 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. FC Rustavi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Rustavi had 63% of the ball to Samtredia's 37%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of FC Rustavi vs Samtredia?

FC Rustavi 1-2 Samtredia in the Gürcitan Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Rustavi vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Rustavi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Rustavi 57%, draw 27%, Samtredia 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Rustavi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Rustavi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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