Mes Soongoun 0-1 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
45%
2.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
12%
5.69
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.0 — our 45% vs market 41.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
27%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
31%
-4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.11/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.43
+15% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +118%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Soongoun
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Mes Kerman
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.01.2025 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
09.09.2024 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-0 HT 0-0 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
10.06.2024 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 1-1 HT 0-1 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
20.12.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Soongoun vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman nicked a narrow win over Mes Soongoun 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 38% / 26% — and on the day Mes Kerman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mes Kerman led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Mes Soongoun and 1.00 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Mes Soongoun vs Mes Kerman?

Mes Soongoun 0-1 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Soongoun vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Soongoun 36%, draw 38%, Mes Kerman 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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