Al Shabab 1-0 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
28%
3.46
6+ Goals
7%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.3pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.25/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.06
-20% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Nasar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
30.12.2023 Al Shabab Al Shabab 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
30.09.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
29.04.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUVEK
17.03.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
17.12.2021 Al Shabab Al Shabab 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
13.04.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Al Shabab KUV
POST-MATCH Al Shabab vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab nicked a narrow win over Al Nasar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Shabab found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Shabab and 1.83 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?

Al Shabab 1-0 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab 37%, draw 26%, Al Nasar 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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