Maritimo U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Sep 2025

📅23/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo U23
0-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maritimo U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 squeezed past Maritimo U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maritimo U23 had 56% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 44%, shots finished 14-17.

What was the final score of Maritimo U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Maritimo U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maritimo U23 42%, draw 25%, Rio Ave U23 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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