Aris Saloniki 1-0 Marko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 23 Sep 2025

Aris Saloniki
1-0 HT 1-0
Marko
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Greece - Cup – 2025/2026

Aris Saloniki vs Marko Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.27
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
75%
-4.6pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aris Saloniki v Marko — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Marko EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

Aris Saloniki 1-0 Marko — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1-0
AWAY Marko
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aris Saloniki vs Marko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki edged past Marko 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Aris Saloniki had 71% of the ball to Marko's 29%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Marko?

Aris Saloniki 1-0 Marko in the Greece - Cup on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Marko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 70%, draw 17%, Marko 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ BTTS No
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