Boreham Wood 1-1 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Oct 2024

Boreham Wood
1-1 HT 1-0
AFC Hornchurch
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Boreham Wood vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boreham Wood v AFC Hornchurch — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.29/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+24% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -42%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Boreham Wood 1-1 AFC Hornchurch — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
1-1
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
16 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood and AFC Hornchurch couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 59% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 41%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs AFC Hornchurch?

Boreham Wood 1-1 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 54%, draw 23%, AFC Hornchurch 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boreham Wood), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
23 Oct 2024
21:45 Farsley AFC vs Peterborough Sports Analysis →