Gosport Borough 0-1 Marlow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.61
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-15.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Marlow EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.74/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/3.98
-22% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gosport Borough
0-1
AWAY Marlow
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Marlow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marlow squeezed past Gosport Borough 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gosport Borough at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gosport Borough had 60% of the ball to Marlow's 40%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Marlow?

Gosport Borough 0-1 Marlow in the England - Non League Premier on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Marlow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 54%, draw 22%, Marlow 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gosport Borough), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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