Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.66
2-3 Goals
34%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
1/X
4%
12.65
X/1
8%
6.61
X/2
17%
5.22
X/X
12%
5.41
2/1
4%
28.5
2/2
24%
2.99
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-4.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
50%
Away Win
42%
+8.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 46%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.08/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.18
-14% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.6 Crosses 13.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2-0
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
2.71 xG 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
523 Passes 261
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua got the better of Kawasaki Frontale 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 64% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 36%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.71 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 28%, draw 21%, Kawasaki Frontale 50%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AŞMP More AFC Sampiyonlar League
23 Oct 2024
13:00 Ulsan Hyundai vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →