CDS Tampico Madero 4-3 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
0.43/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
-73% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero squeezed past Dorados De Sinaloa 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

CDS Tampico Madero 4-3 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 49%, draw 27%, Dorados De Sinaloa 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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