Zaglebie Lubin II 0-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
20%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.08 — our 28% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 53%
-9% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.03/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.51
-21% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
0-2
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki saw off Zaglebie Lubin II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 48% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 52%, shots finished 8-17.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Zaglebie Lubin II 0-2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 28%, draw 25%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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