23/10/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Tabora vs Pamba Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Draw
Under 2.5
BTTS No
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
46%
35%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
26%
69%
Under 2.5
59%
31%
Over 2.5
41%
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
63%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tabora v Pamba — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tabora
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pamba
EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-11%
/
-33%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
315 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tabora vs Pamba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tabora squeezed past Pamba 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Tabora made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
What was the final score of Tabora vs Pamba?
Tabora 1-0 Pamba in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tabora vs Pamba?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tabora 32%, draw 35%, Pamba 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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