Exeter City 2-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Oct 2025

Exeter City
2-0 HT 1-0
Plymouth Argyle
📅23/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.39
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
15%
6.17
X/2
9%
5.22
X/X
8%
4.48
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
2/2
24%
3.39
2/X
9%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Exeter City v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.99/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.27
-30% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
270 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 67%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
23.1 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
233 Passes 232
68% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-1 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
31.10.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 4-2 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
26.10.2019 Exeter City Exeter City 4-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2
03.10.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-2 HT 1-1 Exeter City Exeter City İNTK
11.02.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
17.09.2016 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2

Exeter City 2-0 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
2-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.58 xG 0.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
172 Passes 307
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City got the better of Plymouth Argyle 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Exeter City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Exeter City had 40% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 60%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.58 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Exeter City and 2.00 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Exeter City 2-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - 1st Division on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 37%, draw 24%, Plymouth Argyle 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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