Club Guarani 2-0 Club River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 23 Oct 2025

📅23/10/2025 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.74
Over
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Club Guarani win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Club River Plate The Market 20%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Club River Plate
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2021 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 0-0 Club River Plate Club River Plate PAR
30.08.2021 Club River Plate Club River Plate 1-5 HT 0-3 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
13.04.2021 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Club River Plate Club River Plate PAR
10.02.2021 Club River Plate Club River Plate 1-4 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
02.11.2020 Club River Plate Club River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
29.08.2020 Club River Plate Club River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Club River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani got the better of Club River Plate 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Club Guarani and 0.83 for Club River Plate.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Club River Plate?

Club Guarani 2-0 Club River Plate in the Paraguay - Cup on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Club River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 59%, draw 20%, Club River Plate 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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