Najma 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 23 Oct 2025

Najma
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Ahli Jeddah
📅23/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Najma vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.28
Away Pick
67%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.63
Over
50%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
25%
5.68
2-3
39%
2.02
4-5
26%
2.47
6+
10%
5.37
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.68 — our 25% vs market 12.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
28%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Najma v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Najma The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah The Market 80%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.81 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.92
0.72 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.89
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
11.0 Crosses 19.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Najma 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Najma
0-1
AWAY Al Ahli Jeddah
0.20 xG 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
218 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 30
5 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Najma vs Al Ahli Jeddah
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Ahli Jeddah squeezed past Najma 1-0 on their travels.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. At 1.46 (~68%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, Najma had 41% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 59%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.20 to 1.25.

Najma vs Al Ahli Jeddah Result & Final Score

Najma 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 23/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Najma vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Najma 15%, draw 18%, Al Ahli Jeddah 67%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
23 Oct 2025
17:55 Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood Analysis →
18:00 Al Fayha vs Al Taawon Analysis →