Dewa United 1-0 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.56
No
35%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
65%
BTTS Yes
60%
+5.3pp
35%
BTTS No
40%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dewa United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.71/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.62
+24% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dewa United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bali United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
10.09.2022 Bali United Bali United 6-0 HT 3-0 Dewa United Dewa United ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dewa United
1-0
AWAY Bali United
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dewa United vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dewa United squeezed past Bali United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Dewa United made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dewa United had 49% of the ball to Bali United's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Dewa United vs Bali United?

Dewa United 1-0 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dewa United vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dewa United 36%, draw 27%, Bali United 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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