Ittihad Tanger 1-2 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.61
2-3 Goals
48%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittihad Tanger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 22%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
0.68/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.23
-51% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
26.11.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
21.02.2023 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 2-0 HT 2-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
09.09.2022 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
23.05.2021 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 HT 0-0 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger FAS
20.12.2020 Ittihad Tanger Ittihad Tanger 1-1 HT 1-1 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ittihad Tanger
1-2
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
59% Ball Possession 41%
26 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moghreb Tetouan nicked a narrow win over Ittihad Tanger 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Ittihad Tanger at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ittihad Tanger had 59% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 41%, shots finished 26-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moghreb Tetouan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ittihad Tanger and 0.83 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Ittihad Tanger 1-2 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittihad Tanger vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ittihad Tanger win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ittihad Tanger 48%, draw 25%, Moghreb Tetouan 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ittihad Tanger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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