Bastia 0-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 23 Nov 2024

Bastia
0-0 HT 0-0
Lorient
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Bastia vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.66
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
14%
6.27
X/2
12%
4.78
X/X
17%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.18
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bastia v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bastia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.04/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.97
-8% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.2 Crosses 17.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bastia vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bastia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.01 xG 0.91
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
296 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2023 Bastia Bastia 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FRK
14.05.2017 Bastia Bastia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
20.08.2016 Lorient Lorient 0-3 HT 0-2 Bastia Bastia FR1
05.03.2016 Bastia Bastia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
16.08.2015 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 0-1 Bastia Bastia FR1
28.02.2015 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR1

Bastia 0-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bastia
0-0
AWAY Lorient
0.49 xG 1.44
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
235 Passes 461
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 31
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bastia vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bastia and Lorient played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bastia had 37% of the ball to Lorient's 63%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.49 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bastia and 0.67 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Bastia vs Lorient?

Bastia 0-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 2 on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bastia vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bastia 35%, draw 32%, Lorient 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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