Boulogne 2-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Nov 2024

Boulogne
2-1 HT 2-0
Concarneau
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Boulogne vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.59
6+ Goals
10%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.74
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.32
X/2
13%
5.92
X/X
12%
3.82
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boulogne v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boulogne EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
0.88/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.46
-28% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Boulogne vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boulogne
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.04.2022 Boulogne Boulogne 1-0 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
10.12.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 1-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
30.03.2021 Concarneau Concarneau 0-0 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
09.10.2020 Boulogne Boulogne 1-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
31.01.2020 Concarneau Concarneau 0-2 HT 0-1 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
23.08.2019 Boulogne Boulogne 2-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
POST-MATCH Boulogne vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne edged past Concarneau 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Boulogne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boulogne had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boulogne and 0.50 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Boulogne vs Concarneau?

Boulogne 2-1 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boulogne vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boulogne win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boulogne 37%, draw 26%, Concarneau 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boulogne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boulogne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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